Sunday, April 20, 2008

Iran again in the spotlight

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Whether in the end Iran will be sacrificed to fuel countries hostile to Russia, such as Romania (in exchange for a degree of Russia's rapprochment towards Europe), or not, Putin has no intentions to leave Iran from his nuclear hands.

Putin seems to have proposed to Bush once again the Iran-European scheme, but Putin presented to Bush also the variant when the US will again reject his proposals.

In this case Iran will turn its back to Europe and will go for China and India.

But, in order to achieve any of the above-mentioned plans, Putin must have the Russian nuclear facilities in Iran secured officially.

So, if anything, Russia seems keen to gain its legal nuclear ownership of Iran.

Putin has lost enough in Europe. Does he intend to ever regain what he lost there? This is another good question.

If Iran will fuel at some point countries hostile to Russia, he might demand in return the turn to the left of some European states.

The talks with Bush seem to go in circles. Since the talks on Iran resumed, it's possible that the talks on Europe resumed as well.

Putin might've never really dropped his European plan.

How he will eventually try to restore it, it's not easy to say, but since Nabucco and other pipelines which are now in the mere project stage will be functional in years from now on, a long term plan might've been discussed also for Europe, at the last Putin-Bush meeting in Sochi.

See the interesting articles related to the topic:

~Vera

Iran and Russia need not fight for gas market

http://en.rian.ru/analysis/20080414/105045260.html

Is Iran a nuclear power?

http://en.rian.ru/analysis/20080416/105251460.html

IAEA deputy chief discusses Iran's nuclear program

"The IAEA said in a report released in late February that Iran had become more transparent on its nuclear program, but had failed to fully answer allegations relating to nuclear weapons development".

http://en.rian.ru/world/20080421/105553284.html

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